2024 Election results fivethirtyeight - Welcome to 338Canada! The 338Canada project is a statistical model of electoral projections based on opinion polls, electoral history, and demographic data. This web site is a creation of Philippe J. Fournier, physics and astrophysics professor at Cégep de Saint-Laurent in Montreal. Philippe J. Fournier is a political columnist for Politico ...

 
Download the data. Download. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is …. Election results fivethirtyeight

Nov. 28, 2022, at 6:00 AM. Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich ( Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): The 2022 midterms just ...FiveThirtyEight hit its first major data gaff in the 2016 elections, proving that creating statistical models behind closed doors does not necessarily lead to the best outcome. As he had done in the 2008-2014 elections, Silver set out to predict first the outcome 2016 Republican Presidential Primary and then the results of the Presidential …Nov. 3, 6:35 pm. Our colleagues at ABC News have yet to make a projection in New Jersey, but the Associated Press has just called the race for Murphy, who currently leads 50.0 percent to 49.2...Download the data. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.All posts tagged “Election Results” Jun. 14, 2022. What Went Down During The June 14 Primary Elections By FiveThirtyEight. Filed under 2022 Election. ... FiveThirtyEight. Latest Videos.Solid R. ≥95% R. Likely R. ≥75% Lean R. ≥60% Toss-up. <60% both. Lean D. ≥60% Likely D. ≥75% Solid D. ≥95% D. Counts of Democratic seats include two independent senators who caucus with the...Sep 25, 2020 · Second, these rulings increase the odds that media outlets won’t be able to declare a winner in these four states on election night. And given the pivotal role these states will play in the ... FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.Published 12:51 AM PST, November 9, 2022. WASHINGTON (AP) — Follow along for real-time, on-the-ground updates on the 2022 U.S. midterm elections from The Associated Press. Live updates — all times Eastern — are produced by Ashraf Khalil, Annie Ma, Aamer Madhani, Chris Megerian, Mallika Sen and AP journalists around the country.Add Favorite Race. President of the United States. Show Map Show Chart. Precincts Reporting100%. Percentage. Votes. NP. Donald J. Trump (I) (Rep). 69.77%.FiveThirtyEight hit its first major data gaff in the 2016 elections, proving that creating statistical models behind closed doors does not necessarily lead to the best outcome. As he had done in the 2008-2014 elections, Silver set out to predict first the outcome 2016 Republican Presidential Primary and then the results of the Presidential …FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.Live results and coverage of the June 14, 2022 Republican and Democratic primary elections in South Carolina, Nevada, Maine and North Dakota, including several key races for Senate, House ...Overall, 51 percent of likely voters said Democrats hadn’t earned another two years controlling the federal government, while 39 percent said they had. 4 Among independents, 50 percent said ...And according to Daily Kos Elections (albeit using a different methodology), the correlation between special-election results and the House popular vote has been strong since at least the 1989-90 ...Representatives to the U.S. House of Representatives are elected every two years. This means that all representative seats are up for election at the same time, both in the years of presidential elections and in the midterm election years.Download the data. Download. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is …Updating average for each Republican candidate in 2024 primary polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. April 1, 2023 July 1 Oct. 1 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100% Trump DeSantis Haley Ramaswamy Nov. 30, 2023 leader Nov. 30, 2023 leader Trump Trump 60.0%. KEY. ESTIMATE.Filed under Politics. What Went Down On The Biggest Election Day Of 2023 Apr. 4 FiveThirtyEight. There are no entries on this page. Live election results and coverage of the race for Chicago mayor ...Indeed, the special election results so far this year are merely another indication of the GOP’s precarious position. President Trump’s approval rating is below 40 percent and Democrats hold ...Coming into Election Day, Democrats and Republicans each held 50 seats in the Senate, but Democrats held power via Vice President Kamala Harris’s tie-breaking vote. 1 To shift the balance of ...Polls tracked by analysis website FiveThirtyEight show Biden's approval ratings hit an all-time low. Just over 37 percent of voters approve of his leadership since he was elected to the White ...Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.Several prominent pollsters achieved accurate results without it — including The New York Times/Siena College, which was named America’s most accurate political pollster by FiveThirtyEight ...Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast ...More Republicans Distrust This Year’s Election Results Than Democrats After 2016. By Dhrumil Mehta. Filed under 2020 Election. Oct. 31, 2020.Nov 3, 2020 · Live election results and coverage of the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, and the race for the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. May 15, 2023 · By Geoffrey Skelley and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux. Filed under 2023 Election. Mar. 16, 2023. It was one of the best-known polling firms, however, that had among the worst results. In late October, Gallup consistently showed Mr. Romney ahead by about six percentage points among likely voters, far different from the average of other surveys. Gallup’s final poll of the election, which had Mr. Romney up by one point, was slightly …Ga. Senate Runoff ›. Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia, a Democrat, won a runoff election to defeat Herschel Walker, a Trump-backed Republican and former football star. Democrats Win 51 Seats ...Download the data. Download. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is …FiveThirtyEight is publishing forecasts for the 2015 parliamentary election developed by Chris Hanretty, Ben Lauderdale and Nick Vivyan, a group of U.K. academi…All posts tagged “Election Results” Jun. 14, 2022. What Went Down During The June 14 Primary Elections By FiveThirtyEight. Filed under 2022 Election. ... FiveThirtyEight. Latest Videos.Current Senate117thCongress. Interactive MapContested 2022. 2023 Senate118thCongress. You are viewing: . Democrats. Republicans. no 2022 election. CT. MD. VP. S.Apr. 4, 2023. What Went Down On The Biggest Election Day Of 2023. By FiveThirtyEight. Filed under Politics. Dec. 6, 2022. Georgia Senate Runoff: How Raphael Warnock Secured Democrats A 51st...He then won the election by 7.5. And in our final polling average of the U.S. Senate general election, Walker led by 1.0 point, which was 2.0 points off the actual election result. Although the ...Current Senate117thCongress. Interactive MapContested 2022. 2023 Senate118thCongress. You are viewing: . Democrats. Republicans. no 2022 election. CT. MD. VP. S.An interactive map derived from the FiveThirtyEight probabilistic model for the 2022 U.S. Senate elections. ... General Election Polls 2024 Republican Primary Latest Republican Primary Polls 2024 Democratic Primary 2020 Presidential Election Results Historical Elections. SenateTrump’s electoral record is hardly unblemished: Democrats won the popular vote for the U.S. House by nearly 9 points in 2018, about the same margin that Trump now trails in national polls, in an ...How this works. FiveThirtyEight’s pollster ratings are calculated by analyzing the historical accuracy of each polling organization’s polls along with its methodology. Accuracy scores are adjusted for the type of election polled, the poll’s sample size, the performance of other polls surveying the same race and other factors.Download. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.According to state election officials, about 90 percent of all votes will be announced immediately after polls close — speed made possible by the fact that ballots are due by Nov. 3 at the latest and can be processed as soon as they arrive. A second batch of ballots is scheduled to be released at 3 a.m. Eastern.Nate Silver@natesilver538. Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t ...Live election results and coverage of the Aug. 16, 2022 Republican and Democratic primaries for key races, including Senate, House, governor, and secretary of state in Wyoming and Alaska.About 70 percent of Taiwanese in their 20s and 30s voted in the 2020 presidential election, a lower share than among middle-aged and older voters, according to official data.The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. UPDATED Dec. 5, 2023, at 3:06 PM. Latest Polls. ... An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. KEY. ... Result Net result; Dates i. SAMPLE TYPES. A . ADULTS. V . …Our average gave Democrats an 8.7-point lead on Election Day, and they won the national House popular vote by 8.6 points. And 2022, as a midterm year, has more in common with 2018 than 2020 ...Nov 27, 2016 · Recounts typically don’t swing enough votes to change the winner. Out of 4,687 statewide general elections between 2000 and 2015, just 27 were followed by recounts, according to data compiled by ... As a result, Ganim’s win could be moot — unless he wins the redone Democratic primary, in which case this general-election result would stand. —Nathaniel Rakich, 538 Nov 7, 11:55 PMFiveThirtyEight, 2020 election: Live results and coverage, Nov. 4, 2020 PolitiFact, No, Biden did not receive thousands of mysteriously surfaced votes in Michigan , Nov. 4, 2020 Statement from ...The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight.8) LOUISVILLE, Ky. (AP) — Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear won reelection to a second term Tuesday, notching another significant statewide victory in an increasingly red state that could serve as a model for other Democrats on how to thrive politically heading into next year’s defining presidential election. “Tonight, Kentucky made a choice, a ...Trump’s electoral record is hardly unblemished: Democrats won the popular vote for the U.S. House by nearly 9 points in 2018, about the same margin that Trump now trails in national polls, in an ...Overall, in the post-World War II era, the president’s party has performed an average of 7.4 points worse in the House popular vote in midterm elections than it did two years prior. Therefore ...Apr. 4, 2023. What Went Down On The Biggest Election Day Of 2023. By FiveThirtyEight. Filed under Politics. Dec. 6, 2022. Georgia Senate Runoff: How Raphael Warnock Secured Democrats A 51st...Recounts typically don’t swing enough votes to change the winner. Out of 4,687 statewide general elections between 2000 and 2015, just 27 were followed by recounts, according to data compiled by ...Dec 6, 2023 · Download. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. This allows you to see which states are expected to have reported results for a selected date and time over the coming days. For example the screenshot above shows (in yellow) all the states who FiveThirtyEight expect to have announced election results by 12 am tomorrow (Nov 9th). The FiveThirtyEight predictions for state election returns …The "Election Timeline" will launch on Monday, Nov. 7, and will keep audiences informed on when to expect election results in every state. On Election Day itself, FiveThirtyEight will have its election night live blog, which will go live in the morning, featuring preliminary analysis and coverage of any voting access issues. As results …Nov 17, 2022 · Based on preliminary election-night results, it appeared that Republicans had won 203 seats in the Granite State’s massive, 400-member state House. But the results in 28 districts are being ... In this election, Colorado weighed in as 9.1% more Democratic than the nation as a whole. The results established Colorado as a Democratic stronghold, rather than the Democratic-leaning battleground state it had been for the past three election cycles and previously a Republican leaning state, as Trump became the first Republican incumbent since William …Sep 16, 2021 · Specifically, for midterm elections, you have to take into account which party holds the White House, since that party is at a natural disadvantage in midterm elections. What 3 upcoming elections ... Governors’ elections across the US determine who will occupy the role of governor for each state. There are fifty states in the country, and virtually all of them have a resident governor. America’s state governorships are distinguished fro...Washington DC, December 12, 2022 -- The post-election (and final) wave of the FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos Election Tracking poll finds that a plurality of Americans is surprised by the results of the midterms but that the results are largely trusted.And something we noticed early on in 2022 was that pollsters were conducting more generic-ballot polls and fewer district-level polls. Overall, since 1998, 21 percent of the House polls in our ...AUSTIN, Texas—No, Galen Druke can’t simply gaze into a crystal ball to announce who will win the 2024 presidential election. But what the FiveThirtyEight host and podcaster can do is use data to give context to what may happen in what’s shaping up to be a particularly contentious campaign season.. Speaking at the NCSL Forecast ’24 …Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here .Jan 25, 2023 · Here Are The Races To Watch. | FiveThirtyEight. 2023 Election. Yes, 2023 Is An Election Year. Here Are The Races To Watch. By Geoffrey Skelley. Jan. 25, 2023, at 6:00 AM. PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY ... Dec 12, 2022 · More in 2022 Election. Ron DeSantis. Ron DeSantis Probably Didn't Turn Florida Red Sep 11, 2023; Election Administration. What 2020 Did — And Didn’t — Change About How Americans Vote Jul 31 ... General Election: Trump vs. Biden Wall Street Journal Trump 47, Biden 43 Trump +4 General Election: Trump vs. Biden vs. Kennedy vs. Manchin vs. West vs. Stein vs. Mapstead Wall Street Journal ...Like in the U.S., mail voting means we won’t know the full results of the election for days. A record 1.2 million mail ballots have been requested, and they won’t even begin to be counted ...Dec 12, 2022 · Washington DC, December 12, 2022 -- The post-election (and final) wave of the FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos Election Tracking poll finds that a plurality of Americans is surprised by the results of the midterms but that the results are largely trusted. Looking ahead to the 118 th Congress, a bipartisan majority of Americans believe curbing inflation ... Every state has its own constitution in which governor term limits are outlined. There are 37 states that place various term limits on state governors and elections.The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. UPDATED Dec. 9, 2023, at 7:52 PM. Latest Polls. ... An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. KEY. ... Result Net result; Dates i. SAMPLE TYPES. A . ADULTS. V . …Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here .Final Lite version of FiveThirtyEight’s House, Senate and gubernatorial forecasts as of Nov. 8, 2022, versus actual results. Includes special elections that took place on Nov. 8, 2022. Expected ...The news is better for Democrats in Virginia, where Tuesday saw a special election for the state’s 4th Congressional District. Democratic state Sen. Jennifer McClellan’s defeat of Republican ...How Election Week 2022 Went Down. By FiveThirtyEight. Filed under 2022 Election. Nov. 8, 2022.Latest forecasts and polls for the 2022 gubernatorial elections from ABC News’s FiveThirtyEight. MAIN. Click here to go back to the main page. SENATE. Click here to see the Senate forecast ... LATEST POLLS. Our 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating. Visit our live blog to follow along as results come in. Looking for the ...Nate Silver@natesilver538. Nate Silver founded and was the editor in chief of FiveThirtyEight. He is the author of “The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail — But Some Don’t ...Final Lite version of FiveThirtyEight’s House, Senate and gubernatorial forecasts as of Nov. 8, 2022, versus actual results. Includes special elections that took place on Nov. 8, 2022. Expected ...Overall, 51 percent of likely voters said Democrats hadn’t earned another two years controlling the federal government, while 39 percent said they had. 4 Among independents, 50 percent said ...Download the data. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.Election results fivethirtyeight

The Latest Updates On The 2024 Republican Presidential Primary. Ryan Best, Cooper Burton, Aaron Bycoffe, Chris Groskopf, Alex Kimball, Humera Lodhi, Mary Radcliffe and Maya Sweedler. Aug 24, 2023.. Election results fivethirtyeight

election results fivethirtyeight

FiveThirtyEight hit its first major data gaff in the 2016 elections, proving that creating statistical models behind closed doors does not necessarily lead to the best outcome. As he had done in the 2008-2014 elections, Silver set out to predict first the outcome 2016 Republican Presidential Primary and then the results of the Presidential …Feb 9, 2021 · Of these 15 states, 11 4 also broke down the results of the 2016 presidential election by voting method. ... Nathaniel Rakich is a senior editor and senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight. Nov 8, 2022 · Live results and coverage of the 2022 Midterm elections, including the latest updates on the race for control of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives, as well analysis on races for ... Nov 17, 2022 · Based on preliminary election-night results, it appeared that Republicans had won 203 seats in the Granite State’s massive, 400-member state House. But the results in 28 districts are being ... FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.18 Nov 2022 ... Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. As the dust settles on a vast majority of last Tuesday's races, splashy headlines have ...The Republican Party currently controls the U.S. House, where 218 seats are needed for a majority (when there are no vacancies). This 3-part map lets you view the current composition of the U.S. House and make a …We don’t even know every result of 2022 yet, but the 2024 election has already begun. On Tuesday, former President Donald Trump announced that he would seek a second nonconsecutive term as ...Nov 8, 2022 · 2022 House Forecast | FiveThirtyEight. Our 2022 election forecast is final and no longer updating. Visit our live blog to follow along as results come in. UPDATED Nov. 8, 2022, at 12:22 AM. Every state has its own constitution in which governor term limits are outlined. There are 37 states that place various term limits on state governors and elections.Who will win the last big election of 2023? Dec 07. Brett Coomer/Houston Chronicle via Getty Images, FILE. How popular is Joe Biden? Updated Dec. 4, 2023. 40 50 60% Disapprove 55.4% Approve 37.9% See all approval polls. Who won the fourth Republican debate? 538 partnered with The Washington Post and Ipsos to poll Republican voters.Filed under Special Elections. What Went Down In The Alabama Senate Election Dec. 12 FiveThirtyEight. There are no entries on this page. Live coverage of the Alabama special election for U.S ...By Nate Silver. Nov. 8, 2022, at 2:20 AM. ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES. When we launched our midterms forecast on June 30, Republicans had a 53 percent chance of taking over the...General Election: Trump vs. Biden Wall Street Journal Trump 47, Biden 43 Trump +4 General Election: Trump vs. Biden vs. Kennedy vs. Manchin vs. West vs. Stein vs. Mapstead Wall Street Journal ...FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.Like we did with New York City and Los Angeles, we’ve divided Chicago into political neighborhoods based on the results of four recent elections: the first round of the 2019 mayor’s race, the ...According to state election officials, about 90 percent of all votes will be announced immediately after polls close — speed made possible by the fact that ballots are due by Nov. 3 at the latest and can be processed as soon as they arrive. A second batch of ballots is scheduled to be released at 3 a.m. Eastern.More Republicans Distrust This Year’s Election Results Than Democrats After 2016. By Dhrumil Mehta. Filed under 2020 Election. Oct. 31, 2020.Jun 8, 2021 · Here’s a look at all 529 forecasts combined, including our presidential forecasts plus the Deluxe version of our congressional forecasts. three versions of our congressional model: Lite, Classic ... Published 12:51 AM PST, November 9, 2022. WASHINGTON (AP) — Follow along for real-time, on-the-ground updates on the 2022 U.S. midterm elections from The Associated Press. Live updates — all times Eastern — are produced by Ashraf Khalil, Annie Ma, Aamer Madhani, Chris Megerian, Mallika Sen and AP journalists around the country.On Monday, the fivethirtyeight.com average for Iowa put Trump at 45.9%, ahead of DeSantis on 19.7% and Haley on 17.5%. ... Despite his attempt to overturn the last election, ...Nov. 8, 2022, at 2:20 AM ILLUSTRATION BY EMILY SCHERER / GETTY IMAGES When we launched our midterms forecast on June 30, Republicans had a 53 percent chance of taking over the Senate from...But so far, special election results are one of the better indicators for Democrats’ prospects in 2022. In the six U.S. House special elections that took place in 2021, Democrats overperformed ...Here Are The Races To Watch. | FiveThirtyEight. 2023 Election. Yes, 2023 Is An Election Year. Here Are The Races To Watch. By Geoffrey Skelley. Jan. 25, 2023, at 6:00 AM. PHOTO …Filed under Special Elections. What Went Down In The Alabama Senate Election Dec. 12 FiveThirtyEight. There are no entries on this page. Live coverage of the Alabama special election for U.S ...Jul 31, 2023 · FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society. ... 2020 Election We have 1214 articles about the 2020 election. According to state election officials, about 90 percent of all votes will be announced immediately after polls close — speed made possible by the fact that ballots are due by Nov. 3 at the latest and can be processed as soon as they arrive. A second batch of ballots is scheduled to be released at 3 a.m. Eastern.Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here .Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here .So what would the election results look like if Democrats did 5.4 points better than the FiveThirtyEight forecast currently predicts in every Senate race and 6.3 points better in every House race?Apr. 4, 2023 What Went Down On The Biggest Election Day Of 2023 By FiveThirtyEight Filed under Politics Dec. 6, 2022 Georgia Senate Runoff: How Raphael Warnock Secured Democrats A 51st Senate...Final Lite version of FiveThirtyEight’s House, Senate and gubernatorial forecasts as of Nov. 8, 2022, versus actual results. Includes special elections that took place on Nov. 8, 2022. Expected ...An election banner for Taiwan People's party (TPP) chairman Ko Wen-je in Taipei. The presidential election is a three-way race between Ko, Lai Ching-te of the Democratic Progressive party and Hou ...Dec 6, 2022 · Live election results and coverage of the Georgia Senate runoff on Dec. 6, 2022 between Democratic Sen. Raphael Warnock and Republican Herschel Walker. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here .Nov 8, 2022 · Live results and coverage of the 2022 Midterm elections, including the latest updates on the race for control of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives, as well analysis on races for ... The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. UPDATED Dec. 9, 2023, at 7:52 PM. Latest Polls. ... An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. KEY. ... Net result; Dates i. SAMPLE TYPES. A . ADULTS. V . VOTERS. LV . …FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.An interactive map derived from the FiveThirtyEight probabilistic model for the 2022 U.S. Senate elections. ... General Election Polls 2024 Republican Primary Latest Republican Primary Polls 2024 Democratic Primary 2020 Presidential Election Results Historical Elections. SenateThe index is then based on readings of these variables in the two years leading up to the election (e.g., from November 2018 through November 2020 for this election) but with a considerably ...Margin between Democratic and Republican candidates as of 3 p.m. Eastern on Nov. 9 in battleground Senate races that also had a gubernatorial race on the ballot. We could wind up with as many as ...Dec 12, 2022 · More in 2022 Election. Ron DeSantis. Ron DeSantis Probably Didn't Turn Florida Red Sep 11, 2023; Election Administration. What 2020 Did — And Didn’t — Change About How Americans Vote Jul 31 ... FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.You can see this in the map below, which shows you where the reported vote totals stood for each candidate 90 minutes, 12 hours and 72 hours after the last polls were scheduled to close in each ...The vote will be an early bellwether for how Americans are thinking about abortion in the lead-up to the midterms. According to the first publicly released poll of the campaign, conducted by co ...With 218 seats required for control, FiveThirtyEight predicts 214 of those are at least likely to vote Republican, compared to 189 at least likely to go Democrat. Of the remaining 32 races, four ...The latest political polls and polling averages from FiveThirtyEight. UPDATED Dec. 5, 2023, at 3:06 PM. Latest Polls. ... An updating average of 2020 presidential general election polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency. KEY. ... Result Net result; Dates i. SAMPLE TYPES. A . ADULTS. V . …Nov 28, 2022 · Nov. 28, 2022, at 6:00 AM. Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich ( Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): The 2022 midterms just ... Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.Nov 8, 2022 · Using the latest data from FiveThirtyEight’s 2022 midterm election forecast, we can see that 117 election deniers and eight election doubters have at least a 95 percent chance of winning. Several additional candidates who have denied the election are in competitive races. In the Senate, though, there will be far fewer election deniers. FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.In this election, Colorado weighed in as 9.1% more Democratic than the nation as a whole. The results established Colorado as a Democratic stronghold, rather than the Democratic-leaning battleground state it had been for the past three election cycles and previously a Republican leaning state, as Trump became the first Republican incumbent since William …Download the data. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here.avg. Indicates a polling average for this poll type. Candidate is an incumbent. Partisan types.We aren’t issuing a forecast for this runoff as we did for the general election, but we have calculated a polling average. And as of Monday at 4 p.m. Eastern, Warnock was averaging 50.2 percent ...December 7, 2023 at 3:00 p.m. EST. (The Washington Post) 4 min. In the fourth and final Republican primary debate poll of 2023, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis edged out former U.N. ambassador Nikki ...FiveThirtyEight, 2020 election: Live results and coverage, Nov. 4, 2020 PolitiFact, No, Biden did not receive thousands of mysteriously surfaced votes in Michigan , Nov. 4, 2020 Statement from ...Governors’ elections across the US determine who will occupy the role of governor for each state. There are fifty states in the country, and virtually all of them have a resident governor. America’s state governorships are distinguished fro...The 1992 United States presidential election was the 52nd quadrennial presidential election, held on Tuesday, November 3, 1992. Democratic Governor Bill Clinton of Arkansas defeated incumbent Republican President George H. W. Bush and independent businessman Ross Perot of Texas.The election marked the end of a period of …Nov 3, 2020 · Live election results and coverage of the 2020 presidential election between Donald Trump and Joe Biden, and the race for the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives. Nov 14, 2022 · Filed under 2022 Election. The Uncalled Races Of The 2022 Election Nov. 14 FiveThirtyEight. There are no entries on this page. Live election results and coverage of the races in the 2022 Midterm ... Nov 27, 2016 · Recounts typically don’t swing enough votes to change the winner. Out of 4,687 statewide general elections between 2000 and 2015, just 27 were followed by recounts, according to data compiled by ... 07 Nov 2023 ... ELECTION NIGHT: Results are in for Ohio Issues 1 and 2 For more Local News from WOIO: https://www.cleveland19.com/ For more YouTube Content: ...Nov 19, 2023 · Latest Polls. Check out our popular polling averages. Who’s Ahead In Republican Primary Polls? National polling average. Who’s Ahead in Iowa Republican Primary Polls? State polling average. How... The "Election Timeline" will launch on Monday, Nov. 7, and will keep audiences informed on when to expect election results in every state. On Election Day itself, FiveThirtyEight will have its election night live blog, which will go live in the morning, featuring preliminary analysis and coverage of any voting access issues. As results …. Deston security rooms